Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 513.711346 546.148438 579.845388 617.523459 658.548023 701.940298 751.408737
2026-01-11 471.940862 516.585790 564.815886 620.999986 684.914235 755.668346 840.345163
2026-01-18 443.104439 494.848788 552.287186 621.162989 702.023412 794.577496 909.448183
2026-01-25 423.695774 481.063485 546.195247 626.220575 722.729531 836.436104 982.154446
2026-02-01 408.245512 470.159308 541.835360 631.796141 742.898771 877.239136 1054.497615
2026-02-08 395.726982 461.550722 539.093721 638.309358 763.535054 918.628903 1128.948878
2026-02-15 382.071936 450.571494 532.508307 639.143707 776.370432 950.045245 1191.525244
2026-02-22 369.777588 440.470741 526.217864 639.571404 788.093190 979.914294 1253.026128
2026-03-01 359.937444 432.824354 522.405588 642.606808 802.849864 1013.923116 1321.524180
2026-03-08 349.137450 423.403344 515.765392 641.378977 811.496780 1039.665636 1379.448224
2026-03-15 340.087678 415.769624 510.964191 642.121138 822.482618 1068.708650 1443.304420
2026-03-22 331.341963 408.129138 505.739261 641.872735 831.802779 1095.500535 1505.018930
2026-03-29 323.217797 401.012279 500.917441 641.911952 841.426250 1123.076735 1569.536763
2026-04-05 316.998024 396.139184 498.815344 645.455305 855.948095 1158.177948 1647.481416
2026-04-12 309.936187 389.861199 494.523292 645.640301 865.443674 1186.059539 1715.527933
2026-04-19 305.181688 386.485409 493.982342 650.964964 882.478606 1225.840479 1804.977489
2026-04-26 300.902416 383.575074 493.910215 656.837673 900.411700 1267.673070 1900.376180
2026-05-03 297.201781 381.302119 494.580036 663.698939 919.973657 1312.828003 2004.280052
2026-05-10 291.709569 376.362745 491.306963 664.577968 930.306730 1343.700357 2085.466999
2026-05-17 286.360924 371.449694 487.879821 665.028576 939.869435 1373.620275 2166.805413
2026-05-24 282.144150 367.985671 486.374211 668.226728 953.755271 1411.138175 2264.311925
2026-05-31 276.741638 362.683762 482.038813 666.933032 960.348373 1436.698815 2341.389986
2026-06-07 272.211383 358.491137 479.163565 667.715000 970.215257 1468.129792 2431.617253